Occupations
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Labor Market Trends: Occupations |
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Growing Occupational Groups Between 2004 and 2014, occupational employment for all occupations is expected to increase by 690,700 jobs, representing an annualized growth rate of 1.6 percent. The most rapidly growing major occupation group in the state will be Healthcare Support occupations. They are projected to grow at a rate of 3.2 percent annualized, well above the rate of growth for occupational employment in general. Healthcare Support occupations are expected to increase by 43,000 jobs during the period. Other occupational groups projected to experience above-average growth rates (above 2.1 percent per year) are:
Occupational Groups in Decline Only one occupational group is projected to decline during the 2004 - 2014 period. Production occupations as a whole are forecast to decline at a rate of -0.18 percent annualized, losing an estimated 7,800 jobs. These will include mostly blue-collar manufacturing jobs. Although not in decline, the Farming, Fishing, and Forestry group will experience minimal growth at 0.13 percent annualized, creating just over 200 jobs. Factors contributing to the low growth rate include increasing agricultural productivity (per man-hour) as a result of highly mechanized, capital-intensive production practices; consolidation of farms; and the sale of farmland for developmental programs.
he annualized growth rate for
occupational employment in general is 1.6 percent.
The following graph shows how major occupational groups are
expected to grow in North Carolina between now and 2014: Figure 8
Data source: Projection Unit, Labor Market Information Division, ESC Careful interpretation
of trends in detailed occupational employment usually involves
distinguishing clearly between the fastest growing jobs and jobs with
the most openings. This is particularly true when attempting to
evaluate projected changes in the mix of jobs and their associated
training, educational, and skill requirements as well as their earnings
level. Fastest Growing Occupations by Percent Change Strong growth is projected for occupations tied to the health services industry. Employment of workers in medical health care, dental care, and respiratory therapy is expected to grow rapidly to satisfy expanding needs of the growing healthcare industries. Other growing occupations are associated with education, primarily postsecondary teachers.
Top fastest growing occupations
in North Carolina Occupations with the Most Openings The great majority of occupations projected to have the most openings in North Carolina fall into one or more of the following categories:
Two good examples are registered nurses and cashiers, which together are projected to generate 36,600 job openings between 2004 and 2014. Both occupations are primarily located in the healthcare industry, which is expected to expand by a large amount during the next decade, and they are large occupations to begin with. In addition, cashiers are characterized by very high turnover. Other occupations with large projected job openings are in the large and rapidly growing industry within retail trade, eating and drinking establishments. They include waiters and waitresses, food preparation and service workers, and customer service representatives. A number of these are very large occupations to begin with and have high turnover rates. A number of health-related occupations are on the list of occupations with the most openings. These include registered nurses, nursing aides, orderlies, attendants, and home health aides. These occupations are projected to benefit from the large increases in employment projected for public and private hospitals in particular. Top occupations with most
annual openings in North Carolina Education In North Carolina, as nationally, there will be an increased demand for skilled workers and workers who have completed education beyond the high school level. Between 2004 and 2014, jobs requiring education beyond high school will grow faster than those requiring only high school. Jobs requiring only work-related training will decline slightly as a share of overall employment. Occupations in North Carolina with the most job openings that require:
Figure 9
Data source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Figure 10
Data source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
NOTE: Prepared by the
Labor Market Information Division, NC ESC. A similar
treatment of "Trends" nationally, prepared by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, can be viewed as part of
their Occupational Outlook Handbook.
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